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Category: Blog

FISCAL FRIGHTENING

17 October 2023 peterwarburton

Deeper into the enchanted forest we go. Seen one pink unicorn, seen them all. And what could possibly go wrong…

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DOWN AND OUT IN LONDON AND PARIS

3 October 2023 peterwarburton

Corporate insolvencies are rising sharply in the UK and France. A charitable interpretation is that this merely reflects a normalisation…

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IS CHINA SUCKING THE LIFE OUT OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY?

19 September 2023 peterwarburton

China’s macro-financial model appears to be in difficulty. The recent depreciation of the yuan, most notably against the US Dollar,…

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REVENGE OF THE US WAGE-EARNER

15 August 2023 peterwarburton 1 Comment

A softening of the pace of nominal US pay growth in recent months has been welcomed by policymakers as a…

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UK FISCAL UNSUSTAINABILITY

28 July 2023 peterwarburton

Earlier this month, the Office for Budget Responsibility published its latest appraisal of the UK’s fiscal risks and sustainability (FRS).…

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BANKS GO ROGUE!

5 July 2023 peterwarburton

Like a pillion passenger leaning in the opposite direction to the rider, UK banks’ behaviour has become perverse and dangerous.…

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THE MORTGAGE TIME BOMB EXPLODES!

22 June 2023 peterwarburton

The sky is black with chickens coming home to roost. As the reality of the UK’s inflationary struggle dawns, borrowers…

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UK RECESSION DENIAL

26 April 2023 peterwarburton

2009 witnessed an impressive recovery in the GfK measure of UK consumer confidence, from around -35 to -15, yet the…

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UK ECONOMY: NOT A PRETTY PICTURE

3 April 2023 peterwarburton

The release of the full national accounts for 2022 has confirmed what an extraordinary year it was for the UK…

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THE FED’S PROBLEM: NOT ENOUGH CHAIRS!

13 March 2023 peterwarburton

Last week, US financial markets woke up to the depth of the funding and liquidity crisis that has been rippling…

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