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Category: Blog

DISCOVERING THE LIMITS OF CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDENCE

24 October 2022 peterwarburton

The belated hawkishness of central banks is a wonder to behold. The currency of hikes, once depreciated to 15 basis…

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BONFIRE OF THE VACANCIES!

8 October 2022 peterwarburton

A feature of the past 18 months has been the extraordinary level of vacancies, or job openings, throughout the developed…

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ARE GILTS CHEAP ENOUGH?

12 September 2022 peterwarburton

The Energy Price Guarantee, announced on 8 September, is expected to add around £100bn to the public sector deficit (and…

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THE POWER OF 47

17 August 2022 peterwarburton 2 Comments

Monday marked my 47th work anniversary! On 15 August 1975, I started work as a research officer in the Econometric…

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ON BIDEN’S IMPERIAL INFLATION EDICT

8 August 2022 peterwarburton

President Biden was ill-advised when he allowed his latest, modest, legislative achievement to be named the “Inflation Reduction Act”. However…

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RE-FRAMING THE UK ECONOMIC DEBATE

1 August 2022 peterwarburton

A debate over fiscal strategy has featured prominently in the Conservative Party leadership contest, with foreign secretary Liz Truss arguing…

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Don’t blame inflation on external shocks!

13 July 2022 peterwarburton 1 Comment

In a recent speech Huw Pill, the chief economist of the Bank of England, repeats the assertion that wayward UK…

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UK ECONOMY: TWISTED OUT OF SHAPE

5 July 2022 peterwarburton

Oddly, my one and only interaction with Enoch Powell was during a seminar concerning the UK balance of payments statistics:…

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LENDERS ARE RUNNING SCARED!

4 June 2022 peterwarburton

Global bank lending growth is unusually weak, considering how low interest rates are, in nominal and real terms. Governments and…

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UK FISCAL TIGHTENING HAS PRE-EMPTED MONETARY TIGHTENING

18 May 2022 peterwarburton

Rishi Sunak is a man in a hurry. His mission, as chancellor of the exchequer, is to bring public sector…

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